My predictions

Posted: 2nd May 2014 by Aaron Hagen in Uncategorized

A while ago — on April 1 to be exact — Sports Editor Doug Wolter wrote an interesting column.

In that post, he had a little fun with the fact it was April Fool’s Day. He said that many of us in the newsroom were leaving for positions within various career paths.

He wrote: “Finally, our community content coordinator, Aaron Hagen, will be leaving to join ESPN NFL draft experts Mel Kiper and Todd McShay where he will annually share his personal thoughts on the best and worst college athletes angling for multi-million dollar contracts.”

Well, there is no truth to that. I am, in fact, not going to ESPN.

And, I am in no way an NFL draft expert.

But that doesn’t mean I don’t love this time of year, because I do.

Granted, I am getting a little sick and tired of all the talk of the draft. With it being so late this year, it seems like we’ve been hearing about Johnny Manziel for months now.

Every day a new mock draft comes out. There are all kinds of “experts” out there predicting picks, trades and possible scenarios.

The bottom line is this, something unexpected will happen.

Here’s my boldest thought: Manziel is going to be the No. 1 pick.

Before you stop reading in disgust, let me explain.

I don’t think he is the best player in the NFL draft. I don’t think he’s going to have the best career. Shoot, I’m not sold he’s the best quarterback available.

But, here’s why I feel this way. The Houston Texans have the No. 1 pick.

If it’s anyone else, I don’t think he’s first.

A team from Texas can’t pass up on a quarterback from Texas.

I just don’t see that happening.

The Texans need a quarterback, so it’s not unrealistic. They need someone to energize that franchise, and Manziel will do it.

Could I see them passing and drafting Jadeveon Clowney? Sure. But I don’t think that’s as likely as Manziel going first.

My team, Buffalo, picks No. 9, right behind the Vikings. I will be curious as to what happens with those two picks. The Bills have many needs. Mock drafts I’ve seen have them taking an offensive tackle. I wouldn’t be opposed.

The Vikings need a quarterback. But I don’t see them taking one at No. 8. Outside of the “big 3″ of Manziel, Teddy Bridgewater and Blake Bortles, there are still plenty of quality quarterbacks available. They will be there in the second or third rounds. I would be shocked if the Vikings don’t end up with a quarterback in the first three rounds. But, if none of the top quarterbacks are available at No. 8, I don’t think they reach. I hope they learned their lesson with Christian Ponder.

Of course, who knows what will happen during the three-day draft. And that’s what makes it fun.